It reminds me of the short story "Franchise" by Asimov, I think it might have made it's way onto TV too. They had a computer that picked one person, who would decided the election for everyone else, so there was no need to hold an election at all.
The story was based on the Univac computer that correctly predicted the 1952 election.
Great story and yeah, the implications aren't great, I don't think I'm ready for an "Electronic Democracy", as it was called in the book.
Like anything else computer related, it's still garbage in, garbage out. I brought up the AI because I saw a guy actually use an AI to assign Lichtman's key's and the AI gave Trump the win, although wouldn't assume that all AI's would have been so successful. In fact, I'm sure that many of them would be subject to the same bias depending on who programs them and what data they have access to. For instance if you give it access to MSNBC and not Fox and it would skew the results massively on a question like "charisma" which is one of his keys.
Martin Armstrong's Socrates computer program predicted Trump's win. There's an example of AI and algorithms correctly predicting an election. In 2020, Socrates was 50/50 and didn't predict a winner. That seems right to me. Biden didn't win in 2020 and Trump had to leave the White House, so nobody won. Socrates predicted Trump winning in 2016.
I'm lousy at predictions. There are too many variables that I don't even know about to make accurate future forecasts. I'm still amazed that the 2008 financial meltdown was papered over with trillions of currency dollars. I never would have predicted people being so scared so much during Covid that they'd attack their neighbors and fink on them to the cops. People are very fearful. It's a strong emotion. But the only way to liberty is to face your fears head on and keep going.
Frank, No one can predict human behavior. Not even God. Sure, you can manipulate a majority of people, but that remnant of the ones who don't fit in does the craziest things.
"In the future, he should find a way to remove the bias from his "keys", which could be done by allowing an AI to do it..."
THAT is the scary part...just think about those implications...
It reminds me of the short story "Franchise" by Asimov, I think it might have made it's way onto TV too. They had a computer that picked one person, who would decided the election for everyone else, so there was no need to hold an election at all.
The story was based on the Univac computer that correctly predicted the 1952 election.
Great story and yeah, the implications aren't great, I don't think I'm ready for an "Electronic Democracy", as it was called in the book.
PRECISELY! That story was on my mind as I made my original comment...but now, I date myself... 😀
Though I wouldn't trust AI to remove bias . . .
Like anything else computer related, it's still garbage in, garbage out. I brought up the AI because I saw a guy actually use an AI to assign Lichtman's key's and the AI gave Trump the win, although wouldn't assume that all AI's would have been so successful. In fact, I'm sure that many of them would be subject to the same bias depending on who programs them and what data they have access to. For instance if you give it access to MSNBC and not Fox and it would skew the results massively on a question like "charisma" which is one of his keys.
Martin Armstrong's Socrates computer program predicted Trump's win. There's an example of AI and algorithms correctly predicting an election. In 2020, Socrates was 50/50 and didn't predict a winner. That seems right to me. Biden didn't win in 2020 and Trump had to leave the White House, so nobody won. Socrates predicted Trump winning in 2016.
I'm lousy at predictions. There are too many variables that I don't even know about to make accurate future forecasts. I'm still amazed that the 2008 financial meltdown was papered over with trillions of currency dollars. I never would have predicted people being so scared so much during Covid that they'd attack their neighbors and fink on them to the cops. People are very fearful. It's a strong emotion. But the only way to liberty is to face your fears head on and keep going.
Not everything can be quantified, especially with human behavior involved. That’s why the bell shaped curve shows error, or we can just ask God…
Frank, No one can predict human behavior. Not even God. Sure, you can manipulate a majority of people, but that remnant of the ones who don't fit in does the craziest things.
That's a very Rothbardian thing to say. If we could predict human behavior, communism or the FED would work as well as the free market.
Humans ain't ants.